I know most of you are having a hard time containing your excitement over Mitt Romney’s Tuesday night victories in Maryland, Washington D.C. and Wisconsin. Just imagine – we’re one step closer to a Romney coronation in Tampa. How historic. Is this what you all had in mind back in 2009? The Tea Party forms. Constitutional conservatism is revived. The Republicans take back the House in 2010. And a moderate former governor of Massachusetts is being propelled toward the 2012 nomination by the GOP establishment? The Tea Party does the hard work of beating back Obama and the Democrats and the establishment reaps the benefits?
Getting deflated yet?
According to the always dependable New York Times, Romney has 658 delegates to Santorum’s 281. That’s a 377 delegate lead for the former governor. The media is clamoring over his nomination, but is it a foregone conclusion? The calls are certainly getting louder for Santorum to get out of the race.
The following states are still in play: Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia, Nebraska, Oregon, Arkansas, Kentucky, Texas, California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota, and Utah.
We could sit here and do a lot of math and work out a bunch of hypotheticals but I won’t bore you. The establishment and the media are beginning to lean on the electorate; pushing voters in the direction of Romney. Some conservatives that I’ve talked to believe that the base is going to file in line behind Romney because they think his nomination is inevitable. Santorum is simply not going to make it to Tampa.
Will the remaining voters in the primary states buy this? Will they sigh and cast their votes for Romney or defiantly back Santorum? Let’s hope and pray for the latter.
Romney will take the northern states that are left (CT, DE, NY, RI, NJ) a long with Utah, Oregon, California and New Mexico, but Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Montana, Indiana, West Virginia, Nebraska, Kentucky, North Carolina, Texas, and South Dakota are all question marks.
Remember, Romney has won virtually nothing in the south with the exception of Florida. I believe there’s still a groundswell of disapproval with Romney and he’s simply not going to cruise to the nomination. Santorum could still play the role of spoiler and really upset the apple cart. He still has the possibility of even winning to the horror of the establishment and the media.
The GOP establishment, Democrats and the mainstream press are terrified of conservatives. They are going to do everything in their power to shut this primary down and send Romney hurtling towards the Tampa Bay Times Forum. But don’t look for Santorum to back down and go away. Not yet.
Let’s face it. Why should he?
And if Santorum is no longer a threat and Romney’s nomination is just over the bend, why has he continued to pummel Santorum with negative ads? If the former senator is no longer a viable challenger, then why go to the effort to destroy him in every state still up for grabs? Romney knows his nomination is not a given. This thing is not over..Not yet at least. There’s still time for a miracle.